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Let's Look at the SEC and Where Kentucky Fits

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  • Joneslab
    Senior Member
    • Oct 2014
    • 39604

    #1

    Let's Look at the SEC and Where Kentucky Fits

    So now we go into league play looking like a completely different team...and in fact looking like the team we all thought we would see coming out of the Bahamas.

    The SEC is tougher than it usually is but I'm not sure it's as rugged as people thought it might be when they looked at it back in October. The problem for Kentucky is that the top of the league is very good. There might be four Final Four caliber teams. The upshot is that the bottom of the league is about as mediocre as it usually is, and there are a bunch of games in there that Kentucky has to win.

    What UK is hunting now is a top 2 seed, and because of our play over the last three weeks--and because we have so many resume-building wins left, including that game against Kansas in about a month--we're still in play for that.

    The NET had us right outside the top 20 before yesterday, and they rank Louisville as a top 20 win. So we'll be right around the top 15 tomorrow, which is much better than we were coming into December.

    If you look at the SEC you still have to talk about Tennessee. They are the best team and outside of Mississippi St. the most veteran team. They have two legitimate stars in Schofield and Grant WIlliams, and if Kentucky unseats them then it will take a major effort. They'll be the best team Kentucky will have played outside of Duke, but we don't get them until the middle of February.

    Auburn and Mississippi St. are the next two teams--I actually think Mississippi St. could be a Final Four team with some breaks--and, lucky us, we get both of them twice.

    LSU and Arkansas are probably on the next rung of dangerous teams, and after that it gets a little dicey--but Florida did just maul Butler yesterday. Florida is one of those teams who has been hovering around the bottom half of the league, and that's where the SEC gets a little soft. Mizzou, Vandy without Darius Garland, Ole Miss, Texas A&M, and Georgia are all teams we have to beat.

    Kentucky will not come out of this league unscathed obviously; what you have to hope for is that we can keep this momentum going, beat the teams we should beat, and protect our home court against Tennessee/Auburn/Mississippi St.

    A record of 14-4 probably wins the SEC this season. If Kentucky can be there with a win over Kansas at home then we'll be in play for a 1/2 seed on Selection Sunday.

    With the team we've seen the last two weeks in mind, I'm predicting 13-5 in the league. Losses against Tennessee (twice), Auburn on the road, Mississippi St. on the road, and Florida on the road.
  • Lighthouse
    Gone But Never Forgotten
    • Oct 2014
    • 35962

    #2
    Nice read Will. The team that bothers me along with UT, is Auburn both times we play them.
    John 3:3

    Comment

    • Uncle Dave
      Senior Member
      • Oct 2014
      • 1979

      #3
      Good stuff!!! We're so much better the last two weeks and it shows. Proud of the guys for working hard. This team still has enormous up-side IMO.

      Comment

      • lilproUK98
        Senior Member
        • Nov 2014
        • 2472

        #4
        I don't think this team loses in Rupp.

        Comment

        • KCKUKFan
          Senior Member
          • Nov 2014
          • 14228

          #5
          We win every game left in Rupp.

          Comment

          • BobS
            Senior Member
            • Nov 2014
            • 1291

            #6
            Not impressed with Florida.

            We could easily lose all games with UT, MSU and Auburn. Likely to lose one or 2 on the road we should not.

            12-6

            Comment

            • justford
              Senior Member
              • Oct 2014
              • 4669

              #7
              NET has UK at number 11 https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/basket...l-net-rankings

              Comment

              • Joneslab
                Senior Member
                • Oct 2014
                • 39604

                #8
                Originally posted by justford
                Nice. That's higher than I thought.

                Means we're a top 3 seed right now. The NET has four SEC teams in the top 30 and Kansas is in the top 15. A lot of chances to push up into the top 8, which is where teams want to be on Selection Sunday.

                Comment

                • J.Jennings
                  Banned
                  • Oct 2014
                  • 7005

                  #9
                  Bilas said what we all have known, that beat down by Duke broke the spirit and heart of this team but they kept fighting and finally put it all behind them, i think we are back and good to go. Probably going to take some losses but no need to jump off the bandwagon, bad games can happend but we have seen the potential once again and that's a good thing....

                  I am offically in chill mode unless of course we lose 3 or 4 in a row...

                  Comment

                  • Blue Heaven
                    Senior Member
                    • Oct 2014
                    • 6283

                    #10
                    Originally posted by J.Jennings

                    I am offically in chill mode unless of course we lose 3 or 4 in a row...
                    Even the sunshine pumpers would be restless. It's just part of being a fan.

                    Isaiah 5:20

                    Comment

                    • 85 Fly
                      Senior Member
                      • Oct 2015
                      • 1297

                      #11
                      I agree with most of your analysis Will... Call it positive thoughts, but if we can maintain the confidence train we are on right now I believe we will split the MSU & Auburn match-ups winning of course at Rupp. UT is the only team I believe we can lose twice. And don't sleep on AL, if their 3 point shooters get hot (and we don't defend the line) we can be in for a long night. We should beat the rest of the league BUT I'm assuming we will NOT digress...

                      Comment

                      • Joneslab
                        Senior Member
                        • Oct 2014
                        • 39604

                        #12
                        So just like I called it, Ole Miss and South Carolina are tied with LSU and Tennessee atop the SEC.

                        Comment

                        • JFCats22
                          Senior Member
                          • Oct 2014
                          • 4210

                          #13
                          Things never turn out exactly like we plan!

                          Based on what I have seen so far, I think UK's SEC record will be 12-6 (at best) or 11-7

                          Comment

                          • Joneslab
                            Senior Member
                            • Oct 2014
                            • 39604

                            #14
                            They have to get one back somehow after dropping the unexpected one against Alabama.

                            Problem is, the Kentucky team we've seen the last three games isn't going to beat anybody on the road except Georgia and Missouri. The team that beat Louisville would probably be able to steal a couple more.

                            Kentucky needs to stop playing so slow and play (much) better before the first TV time-out. If they do that then they should be at least in the mix with that second tier of teams behind Tennessee.

                            Tennessee is probably going to be knocked off a couple of times but if you beat them you'll have to pack a lunch, because they'll fight you to the buzzer. Very good basketball team.

                            Comment

                            • JFCats22
                              Senior Member
                              • Oct 2014
                              • 4210

                              #15
                              I know it won't play out like this -

                              I don't see how we win on the road against even mediocre teams. That means losses to Auburn, Vandy, Florida, Miss St, UT, Ole Miss (6 losses)

                              I also don't see this team beating UT at Rupp (would be 7 losses).

                              Simply cannot afford to drop another game like the Bama game and have to figure out a way to change 2-3 of those losses to wins. Otherwise this team is going into the SEC tourney with a 22-9ish record and will have a major uphill battle to get anything better than a 5-7 seed.

                              Comment

                               

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                              Let's Look at the SEC and Where Kentucky Fits

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