Asked ChatGPT to put together likely success of candidates that are being bandied about.
Here’s a sober, Kentucky-specific stack-rank—who’s most likely to win at UK (fit + track record + NIL/portal era + SEC realities), down to least. 1) Dan Mullen (UNLV HC) — best blend of SEC proof + QB offense
Why it fits UK: proven SEC winner (MSU bowls x8; UF 3 straight top-15s), QB developer, scheme adapts to talent, and he’s re-established in 2025 by flipping UNLV to 10–2 and a MW title game in year one. He knows how to recruit the Southeast and manage big-boy schedules; give him UK’s current NIL/portal resources and he can build an efficient offense fast. 2) Bob Chesney (James Madison HC) — serial program builder
He’s won everywhere (D-III ? D-II ? FCS ? FBS) with only one losing season in 16 years; JMU is 20–5 in FBS under him. The risk is Power-2 jump scale, but UK historically thrives with system builders who maximize 3-star rosters; Chesney’s profile screams process + culture + discipline. 3) Ryan Grubb (Alabama OC; ex-Washington OC, ex-Seahawks OC) — elite pass-game architect
Back-to-back top offenses at Washington (Penix ? 1st-rounder), then NFL OC, now running Bama’s attack. If UK wants to modernize offense and portal-recruit QBs/WRs, Grubb is a plug-and-play system CEO on that side of the ball. (Head-coach leap risk, but upside is real.) 4) Will Stein (Oregon OC; Louisville native) — young star with KY roots
OC for a CFP-caliber Oregon, track record of QB efficiency and explosives; rising rep as a play-caller and recruiter, plus Kentucky ties (Louisville/Trinity). Timeline could be tricky with Oregon’s playoff run, but upside and cultural fit are strong. 5) Glenn Schumann (Georgia DC) — SEC defense, organization, talent eval
Smart’s right-hand man built elite, replicable defensive structures and knows SEC recruiting rhythms cold. Biggest question is offensive staff hiring and NIL/portal roster construction as a first-time HC—but the floor on defense/organization is high. 6) P.J. Fleck (Minnesota HC) — culture + floor raiser
He wins without blue-chip recruiting—multiple 9+ win years, 11-2 in 2019—so he fits UK’s “efficiency + development” identity. Ceiling concern: Big Ten offenses under him can be sloggy; would need a dynamic OC to recruit SEC skill talent. 7) Sonny Dykes (TCU HC; ex-UK WR coach) — portal offense, instant lift potential
Took TCU to the 2022 title game and bowls at four schools; could juice UK’s offense/portal. Risk: defensive volatility and recent slippage; would require pairing with a strong DC to endure SEC trench play. 8) Kane Wommack (Alabama DC; ex-South Alabama HC) — defense-first climber
Won 10 at South Alabama; now coordinating Alabama’s defense. Fits the SEC toughness brief; unknown is HC offense hire and recruiting brand power as the face of a P2 program. 9) Neal Brown (Texas special assistant; ex-WVU, ex-UK OC) — familiar, steady, limited upside
Deep UK ties; Sun Belt title at Troy; but WVU tenure finished 37–35. Stabilizer more than accelerator—fine floor, smaller ceiling in the current SEC arms race. 10) Collin Klein (Texas A&M OC; ex-K-State OC) — ascending play-caller
Big 12 title OC at K-State; helped A&M’s rise under Elko. Intriguing upside, but only a couple years as primary OC—projection risk to P2 HC. 11) Brian Hartline (Ohio State OC) — A+ recruiter; HC unknowns
Elite WR recruiter/developer and expected play-caller in 2025, but little HC build evidence yet. If UK wants a recruiting brand jolt, he brings it; if it wants day-one roster management + in-game HC chops, others are safer. 12) Tommy Rees (Browns OC; ex-ND/Alabama OC) — young, sharp, still early
Credited with Milroe’s turnaround at Bama; now an NFL OC. HC projection is still speculative and Cleveland’s 2024 offense struggled (injuries were real). More time seasoning likely. 13) Gerad Parker (Troy HC; ex-ND OC; UK alum) — local ties, limited résumé
Nice steps at Troy (back to SBC title game), but overall FBS HC sample is small and mixed; would be a culture fit, not a slam-dunk result fit right now.
Why this order works for Kentucky
Why it fits UK: proven SEC winner (MSU bowls x8; UF 3 straight top-15s), QB developer, scheme adapts to talent, and he’s re-established in 2025 by flipping UNLV to 10–2 and a MW title game in year one. He knows how to recruit the Southeast and manage big-boy schedules; give him UK’s current NIL/portal resources and he can build an efficient offense fast. 2) Bob Chesney (James Madison HC) — serial program builder
He’s won everywhere (D-III ? D-II ? FCS ? FBS) with only one losing season in 16 years; JMU is 20–5 in FBS under him. The risk is Power-2 jump scale, but UK historically thrives with system builders who maximize 3-star rosters; Chesney’s profile screams process + culture + discipline. 3) Ryan Grubb (Alabama OC; ex-Washington OC, ex-Seahawks OC) — elite pass-game architect
Back-to-back top offenses at Washington (Penix ? 1st-rounder), then NFL OC, now running Bama’s attack. If UK wants to modernize offense and portal-recruit QBs/WRs, Grubb is a plug-and-play system CEO on that side of the ball. (Head-coach leap risk, but upside is real.) 4) Will Stein (Oregon OC; Louisville native) — young star with KY roots
OC for a CFP-caliber Oregon, track record of QB efficiency and explosives; rising rep as a play-caller and recruiter, plus Kentucky ties (Louisville/Trinity). Timeline could be tricky with Oregon’s playoff run, but upside and cultural fit are strong. 5) Glenn Schumann (Georgia DC) — SEC defense, organization, talent eval
Smart’s right-hand man built elite, replicable defensive structures and knows SEC recruiting rhythms cold. Biggest question is offensive staff hiring and NIL/portal roster construction as a first-time HC—but the floor on defense/organization is high. 6) P.J. Fleck (Minnesota HC) — culture + floor raiser
He wins without blue-chip recruiting—multiple 9+ win years, 11-2 in 2019—so he fits UK’s “efficiency + development” identity. Ceiling concern: Big Ten offenses under him can be sloggy; would need a dynamic OC to recruit SEC skill talent. 7) Sonny Dykes (TCU HC; ex-UK WR coach) — portal offense, instant lift potential
Took TCU to the 2022 title game and bowls at four schools; could juice UK’s offense/portal. Risk: defensive volatility and recent slippage; would require pairing with a strong DC to endure SEC trench play. 8) Kane Wommack (Alabama DC; ex-South Alabama HC) — defense-first climber
Won 10 at South Alabama; now coordinating Alabama’s defense. Fits the SEC toughness brief; unknown is HC offense hire and recruiting brand power as the face of a P2 program. 9) Neal Brown (Texas special assistant; ex-WVU, ex-UK OC) — familiar, steady, limited upside
Deep UK ties; Sun Belt title at Troy; but WVU tenure finished 37–35. Stabilizer more than accelerator—fine floor, smaller ceiling in the current SEC arms race. 10) Collin Klein (Texas A&M OC; ex-K-State OC) — ascending play-caller
Big 12 title OC at K-State; helped A&M’s rise under Elko. Intriguing upside, but only a couple years as primary OC—projection risk to P2 HC. 11) Brian Hartline (Ohio State OC) — A+ recruiter; HC unknowns
Elite WR recruiter/developer and expected play-caller in 2025, but little HC build evidence yet. If UK wants a recruiting brand jolt, he brings it; if it wants day-one roster management + in-game HC chops, others are safer. 12) Tommy Rees (Browns OC; ex-ND/Alabama OC) — young, sharp, still early
Credited with Milroe’s turnaround at Bama; now an NFL OC. HC projection is still speculative and Cleveland’s 2024 offense struggled (injuries were real). More time seasoning likely. 13) Gerad Parker (Troy HC; ex-ND OC; UK alum) — local ties, limited résumé
Nice steps at Troy (back to SBC title game), but overall FBS HC sample is small and mixed; would be a culture fit, not a slam-dunk result fit right now.
Why this order works for Kentucky
- Tradition/identity: UK succeeds when it’s efficient, well-coached, and portal-savvy—not when it tries to out-five-star Georgia/Alabama.
- Resources: Good, not SEC-top-three. You want coaches who win on development, QB play, and scheme—and who can retain a core via smart NIL, not just splash.
- Experience vs. upside: Mullen/Chesney/Grubb/Stein/Schumann give you different paths to a step-function improvement without requiring Alabama-level budgets.
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